Using the PEG framework with analyst consensus forward EPS growth of 25.0% plus 3.1% dividend yield, Tyson Foods, Inc. has a fair value of $97.89 based on NTM EPS (FY2026) of $3.92. The current PEG ratio is 0.25.
PEG < 1 = bargain, 1–1.5 = fair, > 2 = expensive.
Growth above 25% is capped — hypergrowth may not be sustainable long-term.
| EPS Growth RateForward | 60.4% |
| Dividend Yield | +3.1% |
| Adjusted Growth (clamped 8–25%)Clamped | 25.0% |
| Fair P/E | 25.0x |
| NTM EPS (FY2026) | $3.92 |
| Fair Value | $97.89 |
| Period | EPS Est. | Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (actual) | $1.36 | — | — |
| FY2026E | $3.92 | +187.9% | 10 |
| FY2027E | $4.36 | +11.3% | 10 |
| FY2028E | $5.62 | +28.9% | 6 |
3Y Forward EPS CAGR: 60.4%
| Year | Net Income | EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | $3.0B | $8.34 | — |
The PEG Fair Value uses the Price/Earnings-to-Growth framework. A stock is fairly valued when its P/E ratio equals its earnings growth rate (PEG = 1.0). This model adds dividend yield to the growth rate per the original PEGY formula.
Growth rate priority: analyst consensus forward EPS CAGR (when ≥ 3 analysts cover the stock), falling back to historical EPS CAGR. Using EPS rather than net income avoids distortion from share buybacks. The growth rate is clamped between 8% and 25% — below 8% would undervalue stable earners, while above 25% would overvalue unsustainable spikes.
| FY2022 | $3.2B | $8.92 | +7.0% |
| FY2023 | $-648.0M | $-1.87 | -121.0% |
| FY2024 | $800.0M | $2.25 | — |
| FY2025 | $474.0M | $1.36 | -39.6% |
4Y Historical EPS CAGR: -36.5%