Diamondback Energy, Inc.

FANG

EnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionNASDAQ

$202.15

Market Cap: $57.08B

Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) Valuation Summary

DCF FAIR VALUE

$374.46

Market Price

$202.15

Upside / Downside

+85.2%

Verdict

Undervalued

Using a 5-year unlevered FCFF model with Gordon Growth terminal value, Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) has an intrinsic value of $374.46 (range: $205.12 – $1,434.80), suggesting the stock is undervalued by 85.2% relative to its current market price of $202.15.

Model	Range	Fair Value	Upside
▸ Discounted Cash Flow
Growth Exit 5Y	$205.12 – $1,434.80	$374.46	+85.1%
Growth Exit 10Y	$268.53 – $1,801.80	$480.69	+137.6%
EBITDA Exit 5Y	$164.86 – $554.12	$342.60	+69.3%
EBITDA Exit 10Y	$247.56 – $828.47	$491.94	+143.1%
▸ Trading Multiples
P/E	$99.58 – $229.60	$150.13	-25.8%
EV/EBITDA	$136.68 – $242.03	$140.90	-30.4%
▸ PEG
PEG Fair Value	$310.07 – $310.07	$310.07	+53.2%
▸ Earnings Power Value
Earnings Power Value	$102.53 – $191.51	$136.96	-32.3%

How we calculated this: The fair value is derived from a 5-year unlevered FCFF model with line-by-line expense modeling, discounted at the WACC (6.6%). The terminal value uses a Gordon Growth perpetual rate based on Diamondback Energy, Inc.'s classification as a CyclicalCyclicalEarnings fluctuate significantly with economic cycles.· High revenue growth (>22% CAGR)· Moderate margins (11% net margin)· Pays dividends (2.0% yield)· Highly cyclical earnings· Strong FCF yield (9.2%) company. Other models are shown below for reference.

Sweet Value Lab vs Wall Street

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Sweet Value Lab Fair Value

$374.46

+85.2% upside

Undervalued

Based on DCF, Multiples & PEG models

Wall Street Target

$182.64

-9.7% downside

Fairly Valued

Analyst consensus price target

Sweet Value Lab's quantitative models and Wall Street analysts diverge on Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG). Our models see 85% upside, while analysts are more cautious with a -10% target.

Valuation History

Disclaimer: Sweet Value Lab provides estimated intrinsic values for informational purposes only. This is not financial advice. All models rely on assumptions that may not reflect future performance. Always do your own research before making investment decisions. Data sourced from SEC filings via Financial Modeling Prep. Last updated: 3/28/2026.

Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) Valuation Summary

DCF FAIR VALUE

$374.46

Market Price

$202.15

Upside / Downside

+85.2%

Verdict

Undervalued

Model	Range	Fair Value	Upside
▸ Discounted Cash Flow
Growth Exit 5Y	$205.12 – $1,434.80	$374.46	+85.1%
Growth Exit 10Y	$268.53 – $1,801.80	$480.69	+137.6%
EBITDA Exit 5Y	$164.86 – $554.12	$342.60	+69.3%
EBITDA Exit 10Y	$247.56 – $828.47	$491.94	+143.1%
▸ Trading Multiples
P/E	$99.58 – $229.60	$150.13	-25.8%
EV/EBITDA	$136.68 – $242.03	$140.90	-30.4%
▸ PEG
PEG Fair Value	$310.07 – $310.07	$310.07	+53.2%
▸ Earnings Power Value
Earnings Power Value	$102.53 – $191.51	$136.96	-32.3%

Sweet Value Lab vs Wall Street

View analyst details →

Sweet Value Lab Fair Value

$374.46

+85.2% upside

Undervalued

Based on DCF, Multiples & PEG models

Wall Street Target

$182.64

-9.7% downside

Fairly Valued

Analyst consensus price target

Sweet Value Lab's quantitative models and Wall Street analysts diverge on Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG). Our models see 85% upside, while analysts are more cautious with a -10% target.