Using the PEG framework with analyst consensus forward EPS growth of 25.0% plus 2.0% dividend yield, Diamondback Energy, Inc. has a fair value of $310.07 based on NTM EPS (FY2026) of $12.40. The current PEG ratio is 0.38.
PEG < 1 = bargain, 1–1.5 = fair, > 2 = expensive.
Growth above 25% is capped — hypergrowth may not be sustainable long-term.
| EPS Growth RateForward | 41.4% |
| Dividend Yield | +2.0% |
| Adjusted Growth (clamped 8–25%)Clamped | 25.0% |
| Fair P/E | 25.0x |
| NTM EPS (FY2026) | $12.40 |
| Fair Value | $310.07 |
| Period | EPS Est. | Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (actual) | $5.73 | — | — |
| FY2026E | $12.40 | +116.5% | 9 |
| FY2027E | $14.08 | +13.5% | 8 |
| FY2028E | $16.20 | +15.1% | 3 |
3Y Forward EPS CAGR: 41.4%
| Year | Net Income | EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | $2.2B | $12.30 | — |
The PEG Fair Value uses the Price/Earnings-to-Growth framework. A stock is fairly valued when its P/E ratio equals its earnings growth rate (PEG = 1.0). This model adds dividend yield to the growth rate per the original PEGY formula.
Growth rate priority: analyst consensus forward EPS CAGR (when ≥ 3 analysts cover the stock), falling back to historical EPS CAGR. Using EPS rather than net income avoids distortion from share buybacks. The growth rate is clamped between 8% and 25% — below 8% would undervalue stable earners, while above 25% would overvalue unsustainable spikes.
| FY2022 | $4.4B | $24.61 | +100.1% |
| FY2023 | $3.1B | $17.34 | -29.5% |
| FY2024 | $3.3B | $15.53 | -10.4% |
| FY2025 | $1.7B | $5.73 | -63.1% |
4Y Historical EPS CAGR: -17.4%