Using the PEG framework with analyst consensus forward EPS growth of 8.0%, UDR, Inc. has a fair value of $3.90 based on NTM EPS (FY2026) of $0.49.
| EPS Growth RateForward | -11.6% |
| Adjusted Growth (clamped 8–25%)Clamped | 8.0% |
| Fair P/E | 8.0x |
| NTM EPS (FY2026) | $0.49 |
| Fair Value | $3.90 |
| Period | EPS Est. | Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (actual) | $1.13 | — | — |
| FY2026E | $0.49 | -56.8% | 9 |
| FY2027E | $0.52 | +6.1% | 9 |
| FY2028E | $0.56 | +9.0% | 6 |
| FY2029E | $0.69 | +22.3% | 5 |
4Y Forward EPS CAGR: -11.6%
| Year | Net Income | EPS | YoY |
|---|
The PEG Fair Value uses the Price/Earnings-to-Growth framework. A stock is fairly valued when its P/E ratio equals its earnings growth rate (PEG = 1.0). This model adds dividend yield to the growth rate per the original PEGY formula.
Growth rate priority: analyst consensus forward EPS CAGR (when ≥ 3 analysts cover the stock), falling back to historical EPS CAGR. Using EPS rather than net income avoids distortion from share buybacks. The growth rate is clamped between 8% and 25% — below 8% would undervalue stable earners, while above 25% would overvalue unsustainable spikes.
| FY2021 | $150.0M | $0.48 | — |
| FY2022 | $86.9M | $0.26 | -45.8% |
| FY2023 | $444.4M | $1.34 | +415.4% |
| FY2024 | $89.6M | $0.26 | -80.6% |
| FY2025 | $377.7M | $1.13 | +334.6% |
4Y Historical EPS CAGR: 23.9%