Using the PEG framework with analyst consensus forward EPS growth of 25.0% plus 4.2% dividend yield, TKO Group Holdings, Inc. has a fair value of $125.68 based on NTM EPS (FY2026) of $5.03. The current PEG ratio is 1.03.
PEG < 1 = bargain, 1–1.5 = fair, > 2 = expensive.
Growth above 25% is capped — hypergrowth may not be sustainable long-term.
| EPS Growth RateForward | 33.0% |
| Dividend Yield | +4.2% |
| Adjusted Growth (clamped 8–25%)Clamped | 25.0% |
| Fair P/E | 25.0x |
| NTM EPS (FY2026) | $5.03 |
| Fair Value | $125.68 |
| Period | EPS Est. | Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (actual) | $2.26 | — | — |
| FY2026E | $5.03 | +122.5% | 13 |
| FY2027E | $5.78 | +15.0% | 13 |
| FY2028E | $6.93 | +19.9% | 10 |
| FY2029E | $7.18 | +3.6% | 5 |
| FY2030E | $9.41 | +31.1% | 5 |
5Y Forward EPS CAGR: 33.0%
The PEG Fair Value uses the Price/Earnings-to-Growth framework. A stock is fairly valued when its P/E ratio equals its earnings growth rate (PEG = 1.0). This model adds dividend yield to the growth rate per the original PEGY formula.
Growth rate priority: analyst consensus forward EPS CAGR (when ≥ 3 analysts cover the stock), falling back to historical EPS CAGR. Using EPS rather than net income avoids distortion from share buybacks. The growth rate is clamped between 8% and 25% — below 8% would undervalue stable earners, while above 25% would overvalue unsustainable spikes.
| Year | Net Income | EPS | YoY |
|---|
| FY2021 | $177.4M | $3.27 | — |
| FY2022 | $387.3M | $4.66 | +42.5% |
| FY2023 | $-35.2M | $-0.43 | -109.2% |
| FY2024 | $9.4M | $0.05 | — |
| FY2025 | $195.4M | $2.26 | +4031.6% |
4Y Historical EPS CAGR: -8.8%