Using the industry peer median P/E Multiples multiple (trailing + forward), Smart Sand, Inc. (SND) has a fair value of $0.25 based on 3 comparable companies in the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing P/E | Forward P/E | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smart Sand, Inc.SND | 194 | 163.3x | — |
| NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc. | 161 | 7.3x | — |
| Imperial Petroleum Inc. | 160 | 3.4x | 1.6x |
| Leishen Energy Holding Co., Ltd. | 86 | 67.6x | — |
| Industry Median | 7.3x | 1.6x | |
| (*) Profit after tax | 1 | ||
| Equity Value | 10 | ||
| (/) Outstanding shares | 40 | ||
| Fair Price | $0 | ||
Using the industry peer median EV/Revenue multiple (trailing + forward), Smart Sand, Inc. (SND) has a fair value of $6.72 based on 9 comparable companies in the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing EV/Revenue | Forward EV/Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smart Sand, Inc.SND | 194 | 0.6x | 0.8x |
| NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc. | 161 | 0.7x | 0.9x |
| Imperial Petroleum Inc. | 160 | 1.0x | 0.8x |
| Drilling Tools International Corp. | 158 | 1.3x | 1.4x |
| Epsilon Energy Ltd. | 146 | 3.7x | 5.0x |
| Martin Midstream Partners L.P. | 107 | 0.9x | 0.9x |
| Empire Petroleum Corporation | 102 | 3.4x | — |
| Leishen Energy Holding Co., Ltd. | 86 | 1.7x | — |
| Stabilis Solutions, Inc. | 66 | 1.0x | 1.0x |
| Zeo Energy Corp. | 34 | 0.6x | — |
| Industry Median | 1.0x | 0.9x | |
| (*) Revenue | 330 | 245 | |
| = Enterprise Value | 327 | 232 | |
| (-) Net Debt | 14 | 14 | |
| Equity Value | 314 | 218 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 40 | 40 | |
| Fair Price | $8 | $6 | |
Using the PEG framework with historical EPS growth of 8.0% plus 3.0% dividend yield, the company has a fair value of $0.24 based on TTM EPS (FY2025) of $0.03.
| EPS Growth RateHistorical | -48.5% |
| Dividend Yield | +3.0% |
| Adjusted Growth (clamped 8–25%)Clamped | 8.0% |
| Fair P/E | 8.0x |
| TTM EPS (FY2025) | $0.03 |
| Fair Value | $0.24 |
No analyst estimates available.
| Year | Net Income | EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | $-50.7M | $-1.21 | — |
| FY2022 | $-703,000 | $-0.02 | — |
| FY2023 | $4.6M | $0.12 | — |
| FY2024 | $3.0M | $0.08 | -36.2% |
| FY2025 | $1.3M | $0.03 | -60.8% |
4Y Historical EPS CAGR: -48.5%
Using the Two-Stage Dividend Discount Model with a Cost of Equity of 7.6% and projected dividend growth of 3.0%, the fair value is $3.11 per share. The DDM range is $2.05 – $5.64 based on sensitivity analysis across Cost of Equity and growth rate assumptions.
| Year | DPS | Payout Ratio | YoY Growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $0.15 | 442.2% | +50.5% |
| 2024 | $0.10 | 130.4% | — |
| 2023 | — | 0.0% | — |
| 2022 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | — | — | — |
| Year | Projected DPS | Growth | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.15 | 3.0% | 0.9297 | $0.14 |
| 2027 | $0.16 | 3.0% | 0.8644 | $0.14 |
| 2028 | $0.16 | 3.0% | 0.8037 | $0.13 |
| 2029 | $0.17 | 3.0% | 0.7472 | $0.13 |
| 2030 | $0.17 | 3.0% | 0.6947 | $0.12 |
| Terminal Value | $0.18 DPS | 2.5% | $2.45 |
Fair value under different Cost of Equity (rows) and DPS Growth Rate (columns) assumptions.
| Ke \ Growth | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.6% | $5 | $5 | $5 | $5 | $6 |
| 6.6% | $4 | $4 | $4 | $4 | $4 |
| 7.6% | $3 | $3 | $3 | $3 | $3 |
| 8.6% | $2 | $2 | $3 | $3 | $3 |
| 9.6% | $2 | $2 | $2 | $2 | $2 |
Disclaimer: Sweet Value Lab provides estimated intrinsic values for informational purposes only. This is not financial advice. All models rely on assumptions that may not reflect future performance. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.