Using an unlevered Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) model, we project SFL Corporation Ltd.'s cash flows over 5 years with line-by-line expense modeling. Revenue is projected revenue growing from -7.4% to 9.8% annually, with expenses (COGS, SG&A, R&D) held at historical ratios. Depreciation is computed from a vintage matrix based on a 5-year useful life. Working capital is modeled using historical turnover days (DSO 42, DPO 13, DIO 12). At a 7.3% WACC with mid-year discounting, the terminal value (81% of enterprise value) is derived from the Gordon Growth Model on Year 6 FCFF at a 4.0% perpetual rate. After subtracting net debt, the equity value implies a fair price of $10.17 per share, suggesting SFL is overvalued by 18.1% at the current price of $12.42.
Adjust parameters to explore scenarios. Changes are for exploration only and do not affect saved valuations.
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit Before Tax | 151 | 171 | 190 | 208 | 229 | 238 |
| (−) Net Interest | 105 | 119 | 132 | 145 | 160 | 166 |
| (+) D&A | 433 | 404 | 382 | 438 | 430 | 447 |
| EBITDA | 689 | 693 | 704 | 792 | 818 | 851 |
| (−) Tax | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| (−) CapEx | 437 | 492 | 548 | 602 | 661 | 687 |
| (−) ΔWC | 69 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| Free Cash Flow (FCFF) | 180 | 186 | 141 | 175 | 141 | 146 |
| Terminal Value | 4,376 | |||||
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.3% | |||||
| Long-term Growth Rate | 4.0% | |||||
| Timing of FCF (mid year) | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 5 |
| Present Value of FCF | 174 | 168 | 118 | 137 | 102 | 3,070 |
| Enterprise Value | 3,768 | |||||
| Projection Period | 698 | 18.5% | ||||
| Terminal Value | 3,070 | 81.5% | ||||
| (−) Current Net Debt | 2,416 | |||||
| Equity Value | 1,353 | |||||
| (/) Outstanding Shares | 133 | |||||
| Fair Price | $10.17 | |||||
| WACC \ Terminal Growth Rate | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.3% | $23 | $33 | $50 | $88 | $234 |
| 6.3% | $11 | $16 | $22 | $31 | $47 |
| 7.3% | $5 | $7 | $10 | $14 | $20 |
| 8.3% | $1 | $2 | $4 | $6 | $9 |
| 9.3% | $0 | $0 | $0 | $1 | $3 |
Current price: $12.42. Green = undervalued, Red = overvalued.
Using an unlevered Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) model, we project SFL Corporation Ltd.'s cash flows over 10 years with analyst estimates for the first 3–5 years, fading toward long-term GDP growth for the remaining years with line-by-line expense modeling. Revenue is projected revenue growing from -7.4% to 4.1% annually, with expenses (COGS, SG&A, R&D) held at historical ratios. Depreciation is computed from a vintage matrix based on a 5-year useful life. Working capital is modeled using historical turnover days (DSO 42, DPO 13, DIO 12). At a 7.3% WACC with mid-year discounting, the terminal value (79% of enterprise value) is derived from the Gordon Growth Model on Year 11 FCFF at a 4.0% perpetual rate. After subtracting net debt, the equity value implies a fair price of $37.67 per share, suggesting SFL is undervalued by 203.3% at the current price of $12.42.
Adjust parameters to explore scenarios. Changes are for exploration only and do not affect saved valuations.
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit Before Tax | 151 | 171 | 190 | 208 | 229 | 249 | 268 | 285 | 300 | 312 | 325 |
| (−) Net Interest | 105 | 119 | 132 | 145 | 160 | 173 | 186 | 198 | 209 | 218 | 226 |
| (+) D&A | 433 | 404 | 382 | 438 | 430 | 548 | 604 | 660 | 715 | 768 | 798 |
| EBITDA | 689 | 693 | 704 | 792 | 818 | 970 | 1,058 | 1,143 | 1,224 | 1,298 | 1,349 |
| (−) Tax | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| (−) CapEx | 437 | 492 | 548 | 602 | 661 | 718 | 772 | 822 | 865 | 901 | 937 |
| (−) ΔWC | 69 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| Free Cash Flow (FCFF) | 180 | 186 | 141 | 175 | 141 | 235 | 269 | 305 | 342 | 381 | 397 |
| Terminal Value | 11,862 | ||||||||||
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.3% | ||||||||||
| Long-term Growth Rate | 4.0% | ||||||||||
| Timing of FCF (mid year) | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 5 |
| Present Value of FCF | 174 | 168 | 118 | 137 | 102 | 159 | 170 | 179 | 187 | 195 | 5,840 |
| Enterprise Value | 7,428 | ||||||||||
| Projection Period | 1,588 | 21.4% | |||||||||
| Terminal Value | 5,840 | 78.6% | |||||||||
| (−) Current Net Debt | 2,416 | ||||||||||
| Equity Value | 5,012 | ||||||||||
| (/) Outstanding Shares | 133 | ||||||||||
| Fair Price | $37.67 | ||||||||||
| WACC \ Terminal Growth Rate | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.3% | $71 | $91 | $127 | $205 | $511 |
| 6.3% | $43 | $51 | $63 | $82 | $114 |
| 7.3% | $28 | $32 | $38 | $45 | $56 |
| 8.3% | $18 | $21 | $24 | $28 | $33 |
| 9.3% | $12 | $14 | $16 | $18 | $21 |
Current price: $12.42. Green = undervalued, Red = overvalued.
Using an unlevered Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) model, we project SFL Corporation Ltd.'s cash flows over 5 years with line-by-line expense modeling. Revenue is projected revenue growing from -7.4% to 9.8% annually, with expenses (COGS, SG&A, R&D) held at historical ratios. Depreciation is computed from a vintage matrix based on a 5-year useful life. Working capital is modeled using historical turnover days (DSO 42, DPO 13, DIO 12). At a 7.3% WACC with mid-year discounting, the terminal value (92% of enterprise value) is derived by applying the industry peer median EV/EBITDA multiple of 13.7x to Year 6 EBITDA. After subtracting net debt, the equity value implies a fair price of $47.53 per share, suggesting SFL is undervalued by 282.7% at the current price of $12.42.
Adjust parameters to explore scenarios. Changes are for exploration only and do not affect saved valuations.
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit Before Tax | 151 | 171 | 190 | 208 | 229 | 235 |
| (−) Net Interest | 105 | 119 | 132 | 145 | 160 | 163 |
| (+) D&A | 433 | 404 | 382 | 438 | 430 | 440 |
| EBITDA | 689 | 693 | 704 | 792 | 818 | 839 |
| (−) Tax | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | — |
| (−) CapEx | 437 | 492 | 548 | 602 | 661 | — |
| (−) ΔWC | 69 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | — |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) | 180 | 186 | 141 | 175 | 141 | — |
| Peers' EBITDA Multiple | 13.7x | |||||
| Terminal Value | 11,464 | |||||
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.34% | |||||
| Timing of FCF (mid year) | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 5 |
| Present Value of FCF | 174 | 168 | 118 | 137 | 102 | 8,044 |
| Enterprise Value | 8,742 | |||||
| Projection Period | 698 | 8.0% | ||||
| Terminal Value | 8,044 | 92.0% | ||||
| (−) Current Net Debt | 2,416 | |||||
| Equity Value | 6,327 | |||||
| (÷) Outstanding Shares | 133M | |||||
| Fair Price | $48 | +282.8% | ||||
| WACC \ EV/EBITDA Exit Multiple | 9.7x | 11.7x | 13.7x | 15.7x | 17.7x |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.3% | $34 | $44 | $54 | $63 | $73 |
| 6.3% | $32 | $41 | $51 | $60 | $69 |
| 7.3% | $30 | $39 | $48 | $56 | $65 |
| 8.3% | $28 | $36 | $45 | $53 | $62 |
| 9.3% | $26 | $34 | $42 | $50 | $58 |
Current price: $12.42. Green = undervalued, Red = overvalued.
Based on default parameters
Using an unlevered Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) model, we project SFL Corporation Ltd.'s cash flows over 10 years with analyst estimates for the first 3–5 years, fading toward long-term GDP growth for the remaining years with line-by-line expense modeling. Revenue is projected revenue growing from -7.4% to 4.1% annually, with expenses (COGS, SG&A, R&D) held at historical ratios. Depreciation is computed from a vintage matrix based on a 5-year useful life. Working capital is modeled using historical turnover days (DSO 42, DPO 13, DIO 12). At a 7.3% WACC with mid-year discounting, the terminal value (85% of enterprise value) is derived by applying the industry peer median EV/EBITDA multiple of 13.7x to Year 11 EBITDA. After subtracting net debt, the equity value implies a fair price of $61.02 per share, suggesting SFL is undervalued by 391.3% at the current price of $12.42.
Adjust parameters to explore scenarios. Changes are for exploration only and do not affect saved valuations.
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit Before Tax | 151 | 171 | 190 | 208 | 229 | 249 | 268 | 285 | 300 | 312 | 320 |
| (−) Net Interest | 105 | 119 | 132 | 145 | 160 | 173 | 186 | 198 | 209 | 218 | 223 |
| (+) D&A | 433 | 404 | 382 | 438 | 430 | 548 | 604 | 660 | 715 | 768 | 787 |
| EBITDA | 689 | 693 | 704 | 792 | 818 | 970 | 1,058 | 1,143 | 1,224 | 1,298 | 1,330 |
| (−) Tax | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | — |
| (−) CapEx | 437 | 492 | 548 | 602 | 661 | 718 | 772 | 822 | 865 | 901 | — |
| (−) ΔWC | 69 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 6 | — |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) | 180 | 186 | 141 | 175 | 141 | 235 | 269 | 305 | 342 | 381 | — |
| Peers' EBITDA Multiple | 13.7x | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | 18,181 | ||||||||||
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.34% | ||||||||||
| Timing of FCF (mid year) | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 5 |
| Present Value of FCF | 174 | 168 | 118 | 137 | 102 | 159 | 170 | 179 | 187 | 195 | 8,951 |
| Enterprise Value | 10,539 | ||||||||||
| Projection Period | 1,588 | 15.1% | |||||||||
| Terminal Value | 8,951 | 84.9% | |||||||||
| (−) Current Net Debt | 2,416 | ||||||||||
| Equity Value | 8,123 | ||||||||||
| (÷) Outstanding Shares | 133M | ||||||||||
| Fair Price | $61 | +391.5% | |||||||||
| WACC \ EV/EBITDA Exit Multiple | 9.7x | 11.7x | 13.7x | 15.7x | 17.7x |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.3% | $52 | $64 | $76 | $88 | $100 |
| 6.3% | $47 | $57 | $68 | $79 | $90 |
| 7.3% | $41 | $51 | $61 | $71 | $81 |
| 8.3% | $37 | $46 | $55 | $63 | $72 |
| 9.3% | $32 | $40 | $49 | $57 | $65 |
Current price: $12.42. Green = undervalued, Red = overvalued.
Based on default parameters
Using the industry peer median EV/EBITDA multiple (trailing + forward), SFL Corporation Ltd. (SFL) has a fair value of $38.07 based on 9 comparable companies in the Marine Shipping industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing EV/EBITDA | Forward EV/EBITDA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFL Corporation Ltd.SFL | 1,653 | 9.7x | 7.8x |
| Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp. | 1,679 | 10.6x | 15.8x |
| Thermon Group Holdings, Inc. | 1,676 | 17.4x | 17.6x |
| Enviri Corporation | 1,583 | 20.8x | 22.1x |
| Preformed Line Products Company | 1,430 | 17.9x | 17.7x |
| Global Ship Lease, Inc. | 1,398 | 3.4x | 3.5x |
| Nordic American Tankers Limited | 1,309 | 19.5x | 31.1x |
| Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. | 1,111 | 11.4x | 10.2x |
| Genco Shipping & Trading Limited | 1,037 | 13.7x | 21.1x |
| Barrett Business Services, Inc. | 764 | 8.7x | 9.8x |
| Industry Median | 13.7x | 17.6x | |
| (*) EBITDA | 421 | 524 | |
| = Enterprise Value | 5,758 | 9,205 | |
| (-) Net Debt | 2,416 | 2,416 | |
| Equity Value | 3,343 | 6,789 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 133 | 133 | |
| Fair Price | $25 | $51 | |
Using the industry peer median EV/Revenue multiple (trailing + forward), SFL Corporation Ltd. (SFL) has a fair value of $3.38 based on 9 comparable companies in the Marine Shipping industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing EV/Revenue | Forward EV/Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFL Corporation Ltd.SFL | 1,653 | 5.7x | 4.5x |
| Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp. | 1,679 | 5.5x | 8.2x |
| Thermon Group Holdings, Inc. | 1,676 | 3.6x | 3.6x |
| Enviri Corporation | 1,583 | 1.5x | 1.6x |
| Preformed Line Products Company | 1,430 | 2.1x | 2.1x |
| Global Ship Lease, Inc. | 1,398 | 2.3x | 2.4x |
| Nordic American Tankers Limited | 1,309 | 5.8x | 9.2x |
| Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. | 1,111 | 9.1x | 8.2x |
| Genco Shipping & Trading Limited | 1,037 | 3.5x | 5.3x |
| Barrett Business Services, Inc. | 764 | 0.6x | 0.6x |
| Industry Median | 3.5x | 3.6x | |
| (*) Revenue | 720 | 895 | |
| = Enterprise Value | 2,486 | 3,243 | |
| (-) Net Debt | 2,416 | 2,416 | |
| Equity Value | 71 | 828 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 133 | 133 | |
| Fair Price | $1 | $6 | |
Disclaimer: Sweet Value Lab provides estimated intrinsic values for informational purposes only. This is not financial advice. All models rely on assumptions that may not reflect future performance. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.