Using the Earnings Power Value framework with a WACC of 8.3% and normalized earnings of $1.5B, NVR, Inc. has a fair value of $6,176.70 per share. The EPV range is $5,270.72 – $7,481.41 based on WACC sensitivity (6.8% – 9.8%).
| Low | Selected | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | 1,513 | 1,513 | 1,513 |
| (/) WACC | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Enterprise Value | 15,416 | 18,196 | 22,200 |
| (-) Net debt | -760 | -760 | -760 |
| Equity Value | 16,176 | 18,956 | 22,960 |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Fair Price | $5,270.72 | $6,176.70 | $7,481.41 |
Earnings Power Value (EPV) estimates what a company is worth based on its current normalized earnings, assuming zero growth. It values the business as a perpetuity: Normalized Earnings / WACC. This gives a conservative floor value — the company's worth if it never grows but maintains its current profitability.
The model normalizes earnings by: (1) using sustainable gross margins (5-year average) applied to current revenue, (2) deducting maintenance-level operating expenses (average R&D + SG&A as % of revenue), (3) applying the average effective tax rate, and (4) subtracting the average excess of CapEx over D&A (net reinvestment needed to maintain current capacity).
EPV is most useful as a comparison anchor: if the market price is below EPV, the stock may be undervalued even without any growth. If market price exceeds EPV, the premium reflects growth expectations — which may or may not materialize.