Using the Earnings Power Value framework with a WACC of 7.7% and normalized earnings of $3.1B, Nucor Corporation has a fair value of $156.23 per share. The EPV range is $127.29 – $199.19 based on WACC sensitivity (6.2% – 9.2%).
| Low | Selected | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | 3,148 | 3,148 | 3,148 |
| (/) WACC | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
| Enterprise Value | 34,252 | 40,933 | 50,853 |
| (-) Net debt | 4,861 | 4,861 | 4,861 |
| Equity Value | 29,391 | 36,072 | 45,992 |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 231 | 231 | 231 |
| Fair Price | $127.29 | $156.23 | $199.19 |
Earnings Power Value (EPV) estimates what a company is worth based on its current normalized earnings, assuming zero growth. It values the business as a perpetuity: Normalized Earnings / WACC. This gives a conservative floor value — the company's worth if it never grows but maintains its current profitability.
The model normalizes earnings by: (1) using sustainable gross margins (5-year average) applied to current revenue, (2) deducting maintenance-level operating expenses (average R&D + SG&A as % of revenue), (3) applying the average effective tax rate, and (4) subtracting the average excess of CapEx over D&A (net reinvestment needed to maintain current capacity).
EPV is most useful as a comparison anchor: if the market price is below EPV, the stock may be undervalued even without any growth. If market price exceeds EPV, the premium reflects growth expectations — which may or may not materialize.