Using the PEG framework with analyst consensus forward EPS growth of 17.8% plus 2.7% dividend yield, EOG Resources, Inc. has a fair value of $184.20 based on NTM EPS (FY2026) of $10.32. The current PEG ratio is 0.80.
PEG < 1 = bargain, 1–1.5 = fair, > 2 = expensive.
PEG is most informative for high-growth companies — the PEG sweet spot.
| EPS Growth RateForward | 15.2% |
| Dividend Yield | +2.7% |
| Adjusted Growth (clamped 8–25%) | 17.8% |
| Fair P/E | 17.8x |
| NTM EPS (FY2026) | $10.32 |
| Fair Value | $184.20 |
| Period | EPS Est. | Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (actual) | $9.11 | — | — |
| FY2026E | $10.32 | +13.3% | 9 |
| FY2027E | $11.50 | +11.4% | 8 |
| FY2028E | $13.91 | +21.0% | 5 |
3Y Forward EPS CAGR: 15.2%
| Year | Net Income | EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | $4.7B | $7.99 | — |
| FY2022 | $7.8B | $13.22 | +65.5% |
| FY2023 | $7.6B | $13.00 | -1.7% |
| FY2024 | $6.4B | $11.25 | -13.5% |
| FY2025 | $5.0B | $9.11 | -19.0% |
4Y Historical EPS CAGR: 3.3%
The PEG Fair Value uses the Price/Earnings-to-Growth framework. A stock is fairly valued when its P/E ratio equals its earnings growth rate (PEG = 1.0). This model adds dividend yield to the growth rate per the original PEGY formula.
Growth rate priority: analyst consensus forward EPS CAGR (when ≥ 3 analysts cover the stock), falling back to historical EPS CAGR. Using EPS rather than net income avoids distortion from share buybacks. The growth rate is clamped between 8% and 25% — below 8% would undervalue stable earners, while above 25% would overvalue unsustainable spikes.