Using the Earnings Power Value framework with a WACC of 8.2% and normalized earnings of $6.0B, Deere & Company has a fair value of $67.09 per share. The EPV range is $24.93 – $128.18 based on WACC sensitivity (6.7% – 9.7%).
| Low | Selected | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | 6,041 | 6,041 | 6,041 |
| (/) WACC | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% |
| Enterprise Value | 62,434 | 73,888 | 90,488 |
| (-) Net debt | 55,660 | 55,660 | 55,660 |
| Equity Value | 6,774 | 18,228 | 34,828 |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 272 | 272 | 272 |
| Fair Price | $24.93 | $67.09 | $128.18 |
Earnings Power Value (EPV) estimates what a company is worth based on its current normalized earnings, assuming zero growth. It values the business as a perpetuity: Normalized Earnings / WACC. This gives a conservative floor value — the company's worth if it never grows but maintains its current profitability.
The model normalizes earnings by: (1) using sustainable gross margins (5-year average) applied to current revenue, (2) deducting maintenance-level operating expenses (average R&D + SG&A as % of revenue), (3) applying the average effective tax rate, and (4) subtracting the average excess of CapEx over D&A (net reinvestment needed to maintain current capacity).
EPV is most useful as a comparison anchor: if the market price is below EPV, the stock may be undervalued even without any growth. If market price exceeds EPV, the premium reflects growth expectations — which may or may not materialize.