Using the PEG framework with analyst consensus forward EPS growth of 8.0% plus 4.4% dividend yield, Camden Property Trust has a fair value of $10.82 based on NTM EPS (FY2026) of $1.35.
| EPS Growth RateForward | -12.0% |
| Dividend Yield | +4.4% |
| Adjusted Growth (clamped 8–25%)Clamped | 8.0% |
| Fair P/E | 8.0x |
| NTM EPS (FY2026) | $1.35 |
| Fair Value | $10.82 |
| Period | EPS Est. | Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (actual) | $3.54 | — | — |
| FY2026E | $1.35 | -61.8% | 10 |
| FY2027E | $1.33 | -2.0% | 11 |
| FY2028E | $1.66 | +25.2% | 6 |
| FY2029E | $2.12 | +27.7% | 5 |
4Y Forward EPS CAGR: -12.0%
| Year | Net Income | EPS | YoY |
|---|
The PEG Fair Value uses the Price/Earnings-to-Growth framework. A stock is fairly valued when its P/E ratio equals its earnings growth rate (PEG = 1.0). This model adds dividend yield to the growth rate per the original PEGY formula.
Growth rate priority: analyst consensus forward EPS CAGR (when ≥ 3 analysts cover the stock), falling back to historical EPS CAGR. Using EPS rather than net income avoids distortion from share buybacks. The growth rate is clamped between 8% and 25% — below 8% would undervalue stable earners, while above 25% would overvalue unsustainable spikes.
| FY2021 | $303.9M | $2.96 | — |
| FY2022 | $653.6M | $6.03 | +103.7% |
| FY2023 | $403.3M | $3.70 | -38.6% |
| FY2024 | $163.3M | $1.50 | -59.5% |
| FY2025 | $384.5M | $3.54 | +136.0% |
4Y Historical EPS CAGR: 4.6%