Using the PEG framework with analyst consensus forward EPS growth of 10.5% plus 1.3% dividend yield, Church & Dwight Co., Inc. has a fair value of $39.81 based on NTM EPS (FY2026) of $3.77. The current PEG ratio is 2.35.
PEG < 1 = bargain, 1–1.5 = fair, > 2 = expensive.
PEG works well for steady growers with predictable earnings.
| EPS Growth RateForward | 9.3% |
| Dividend Yield | +1.3% |
| Adjusted Growth (clamped 8–25%) | 10.5% |
| Fair P/E | 10.5x |
| NTM EPS (FY2026) | $3.77 |
| Fair Value | $39.81 |
| Period | EPS Est. | Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (actual) | $3.02 | — | — |
| FY2026E | $3.77 | +25.0% | 14 |
| FY2027E | $4.04 | +7.1% | 14 |
| FY2028E | $4.32 | +7.0% | 8 |
| FY2029E | $4.54 | +4.9% | 7 |
| FY2030E | $4.70 | +3.6% | 7 |
5Y Forward EPS CAGR: 9.3%
| Year | Net Income | EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | $827.5M | $3.32 | — |
| FY2022 | $413.9M | $1.68 | -49.4% |
| FY2023 | $755.6M | $3.05 | +81.5% |
| FY2024 | $585.3M | $2.37 | -22.3% |
| FY2025 | $736.8M | $3.02 | +27.4% |
4Y Historical EPS CAGR: -2.3%
The PEG Fair Value uses the Price/Earnings-to-Growth framework. A stock is fairly valued when its P/E ratio equals its earnings growth rate (PEG = 1.0). This model adds dividend yield to the growth rate per the original PEGY formula.
Growth rate priority: analyst consensus forward EPS CAGR (when ≥ 3 analysts cover the stock), falling back to historical EPS CAGR. Using EPS rather than net income avoids distortion from share buybacks. The growth rate is clamped between 8% and 25% — below 8% would undervalue stable earners, while above 25% would overvalue unsustainable spikes.