Using a Revenue DCF model with operating margin convergence from -15.6% to a target of 10.4% over 5 years, discounted at a WACC of 7.4%, Genius Sports Limited (GENI) has an intrinsic value of $0.86 per share (range: $0.83 – $16.32).
Using the industry peer median EV/Revenue multiple (trailing + forward), Genius Sports Limited (GENI) has a fair value of $4.77 based on 6 comparable companies in the Internet Content & Information industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing EV/Revenue | Forward EV/Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genius Sports LimitedGENI | 1,121 | 1.3x | 1.3x |
| IAC InterActive Corp. | 3,277 | 1.6x | 2.0x |
| Cinemark Holdings, Inc. | 3,161 | 2.1x | 1.9x |
| JOYY, Inc. Sponsored ADR Class A | 3,097 | 1.3x | 0.2x |
| Kyivstar Group Ltd. Common Shares | 3,068 | 2.7x | 2.5x |
| Weibo Corporation | 2,020 | 0.9x | 0.9x |
| Yelp Inc. | 1,591 | 1.0x | 1.0x |
| Industry Median | 1.4x | 1.5x | |
| (*) Revenue | 669 | 669 | |
| = Enterprise Value | 953 | 979 | |
| (-) Net Debt | -250 | -250 | |
| Equity Value | 1,203 | 1,229 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 255 | 255 | |
| Fair Price | $5 | $5 | |
Disclaimer: Sweet Value Lab provides estimated intrinsic values for informational purposes only. This is not financial advice. All models rely on assumptions that may not reflect future performance. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.